Nigeria Jumps 4 Places

Nigeria has emerged as the biggest climber in Africa's latest investment risk ranking, rising four places to eighth position, driven by stronger economic performance and reforms implemented by President Bola Tinubu. The country's improved position comes despite ongoing concerns about its high public debt and infrastructure deficit.

Nigeria Jumps 4 Places
Photo: Business Insider Africa

Nigeria has risen four places to eighth position in the 2026 Bloomberg Economics Investment Risk-O-Meter, overtaking Rwanda, Tanzania, Kenya, and Namibia. The country's improvement was driven by stronger performance in three of the five indicators used in the assessment: economic strength, fiscal strength, and external vulnerability.

Mauritius topped the ranking with a score of 0.6, followed by South Africa at 0.5. Egypt, Ghana, Botswana, and Côte d’Ivoire formed the next group at 0.3, while Morocco scored 0.2. Nigeria ranked eighth with 0.1, ahead of Rwanda and Tanzania, which both recorded 0.0.

The development puts Nigeria among the biggest gainers on the continent, despite ongoing concerns about the country's high public debt, cost of living, inflation, infrastructure deficit, and foreign exchange pressures. President Bola Tinubu's economic reforms, including the removal of the petrol subsidy and reforms to the foreign exchange market, have been credited with improving the country's relative attractiveness to investors.

The Federal Government has repeatedly defended the reforms as necessary to address distortions that had weighed on public finances, discouraged investment, and placed pressure on foreign exchange reserves. However, the policies have also increased economic hardship for households and businesses, particularly through higher transport, food, and energy costs.

Despite the adjustment pains, Nigeria's economy has continued to expand during the period under review. Real Gross Domestic Product growth has been steady, and the country's economic reforms are expected to continue to drive growth in the coming years.

The ranking assessed 19 African countries using an investment risk-o-meter that measures five factors likely to influence financial returns: economic strength, fiscal strength, institutions and governance, infrastructure, and external vulnerability. The scores are then weighted to produce an overall risk rating, with a higher number indicating lower relative investment risk.

The countries assessed account for about one-third of Africa's economy, with the selection covering major economies as well as countries attractive to investors because of commodity wealth, financial hubs, and business-tourism potential.

Key facts

  • Nigeria rose four places to eighth position in the 2026 Bloomberg Economics Investment Risk-O-Meter
  • Mauritius topped the ranking with a score of 0.6
  • Nigeria's improvement was driven by stronger performance in economic strength, fiscal strength, and external vulnerability
  • The country's economy has continued to expand despite ongoing concerns about high public debt and infrastructure deficit

Three perspectives

Neutral

The ranking provides a balanced view of the investment landscape in Africa, highlighting both the opportunities and challenges facing investors. As the continent continues to grow and develop, it is likely that investment prospects will evolve, and countries will need to adapt to changing economic conditions.

Positive

Nigeria's improved position in the ranking is a positive sign for the country's economy, indicating that the government's reforms are having a positive impact on the business environment. The country's steady economic growth and improving investment climate make it an attractive destination for investors.

Negative

Despite Nigeria's improved position, the country still faces significant challenges, including high public debt, infrastructure deficits, and foreign exchange pressures. The government's reforms have also increased economic hardship for households and businesses, which could have long-term consequences for the economy.

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